Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia
2015
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Several different strategies for control and eradication of classical swine fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. The control strategy analysed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms and rural backyard holdings. Elements of the control strategy are based on applicable regulations and include the simulation of detection of the disease, setting up the protected and surveillance zones, standstill of pig movements and restricted movement of animals, vehicles, equipment, and people with strong control measures in protection and surveillance zones, euthanasia of susceptible pigs, protective vaccination of pigs, compensation etc. During the simulation, different output parameters were compared such as: duration of epidemic of a disease, number of affected holdings and animals, direct costs such as those for dead or culled animals, costs of surveillance, disposal of infectious ma...terials, cleaning and disinfection. Depopulation of affected animals with early diagnostics and vaccination in the protection and surveillance zone proved to be the most effective measures to stop the spread and for the eradication of the disease. Moreover, during the simulation, systematic implementation of biosecurity measures in all pig production clusters was demonstrated to be an appropriate strategy for sustainable control of CSF and the establishment of a stable epidemiological situation.
Ključne reči:
Monte Carlo simulation / classical swine fever / biosecurity measures / control strategyIzvor:
Veterinarni Medicina, 2015, 60, 10Izdavač:
- Czech Academy Agricultural Sciences, Prague
Finansiranje / projekti:
- Razvoj i standardizacija molekularnih i imunskih metoda u dijagnostici bakterijskih zoonoza (RS-MESTD-Technological Development (TD or TR)-31088)
- Ekološka i virusološka istraživanja prisustva emerging zoonoza u rezervatima prirode Republike Srbije (RS-MESTD-Technological Development (TD or TR)-37015)
DOI: 10.17221/8494-VETMED
ISSN: 0375-8427
WoS: 000363178900004
Scopus: 2-s2.0-84946215029
Kolekcije
Institucija/grupa
Fakultet veterinarske medicineTY - JOUR AU - Stanojević, S. AU - Valčić, Miroslav AU - Stanojević, S. AU - Radojičić, Sonja AU - Avramov, S. AU - Tambur, Zoran PY - 2015 UR - https://vet-erinar.vet.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/1280 AB - Several different strategies for control and eradication of classical swine fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. The control strategy analysed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms and rural backyard holdings. Elements of the control strategy are based on applicable regulations and include the simulation of detection of the disease, setting up the protected and surveillance zones, standstill of pig movements and restricted movement of animals, vehicles, equipment, and people with strong control measures in protection and surveillance zones, euthanasia of susceptible pigs, protective vaccination of pigs, compensation etc. During the simulation, different output parameters were compared such as: duration of epidemic of a disease, number of affected holdings and animals, direct costs such as those for dead or culled animals, costs of surveillance, disposal of infectious materials, cleaning and disinfection. Depopulation of affected animals with early diagnostics and vaccination in the protection and surveillance zone proved to be the most effective measures to stop the spread and for the eradication of the disease. Moreover, during the simulation, systematic implementation of biosecurity measures in all pig production clusters was demonstrated to be an appropriate strategy for sustainable control of CSF and the establishment of a stable epidemiological situation. PB - Czech Academy Agricultural Sciences, Prague T2 - Veterinarni Medicina T1 - Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia VL - 60 IS - 10 DO - 10.17221/8494-VETMED ER -
@article{ author = "Stanojević, S. and Valčić, Miroslav and Stanojević, S. and Radojičić, Sonja and Avramov, S. and Tambur, Zoran", year = "2015", abstract = "Several different strategies for control and eradication of classical swine fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. The control strategy analysed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms and rural backyard holdings. Elements of the control strategy are based on applicable regulations and include the simulation of detection of the disease, setting up the protected and surveillance zones, standstill of pig movements and restricted movement of animals, vehicles, equipment, and people with strong control measures in protection and surveillance zones, euthanasia of susceptible pigs, protective vaccination of pigs, compensation etc. During the simulation, different output parameters were compared such as: duration of epidemic of a disease, number of affected holdings and animals, direct costs such as those for dead or culled animals, costs of surveillance, disposal of infectious materials, cleaning and disinfection. Depopulation of affected animals with early diagnostics and vaccination in the protection and surveillance zone proved to be the most effective measures to stop the spread and for the eradication of the disease. Moreover, during the simulation, systematic implementation of biosecurity measures in all pig production clusters was demonstrated to be an appropriate strategy for sustainable control of CSF and the establishment of a stable epidemiological situation.", publisher = "Czech Academy Agricultural Sciences, Prague", journal = "Veterinarni Medicina", title = "Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia", volume = "60", number = "10", doi = "10.17221/8494-VETMED" }
Stanojević, S., Valčić, M., Stanojević, S., Radojičić, S., Avramov, S.,& Tambur, Z.. (2015). Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia. in Veterinarni Medicina Czech Academy Agricultural Sciences, Prague., 60(10). https://doi.org/10.17221/8494-VETMED
Stanojević S, Valčić M, Stanojević S, Radojičić S, Avramov S, Tambur Z. Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia. in Veterinarni Medicina. 2015;60(10). doi:10.17221/8494-VETMED .
Stanojević, S., Valčić, Miroslav, Stanojević, S., Radojičić, Sonja, Avramov, S., Tambur, Zoran, "Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia" in Veterinarni Medicina, 60, no. 10 (2015), https://doi.org/10.17221/8494-VETMED . .